New poll shows Richard ahead

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A gold standard constituency by constituency poll from Electoral Calculus suggests that Richard Foord has sped ahead of his Conservative challenger in the race to be our next MP. He’s on 45 per cent to the Tory’s 35 per cent, closer than the by-election but a promising lead (bear in mind there is a margin of error in these things).

The same poll shows Paul Arnott, standing for the Lib Dems in Exmouth & Exeter East, only 3 per cent behind the Tory (30 to 33 per cent). Labour is on 23 per cent so if some Labour voters swing behind Paul’s challenge he has an excellent chance of taking the seat. The poll suggests the Lib Dems would be on 59 seats to the Tories’ 66, so with a small further shift, the Lib Dems would be the official opposition to the new Labour government.

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