Ten LOCAL reasons to vote AGAINST the Conservatives today

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In East Devon, vote for Claire Wright (Independent), in Exeter for Ben Bradshaw (Labour), in Totnes for Sarah Wollaston (Lib Dem), who are candidates who can clearly beat the Tories. In Tiverton & Honiton where the Tories are unfortunately safe, vote Labour, Liberal Democrat or Green to show the Tories they can’t take us for granted.

  1. The Conservatives wanted to sell off our community hospitals, and only our protests (see above) and the 21,000 who voted for Claire in 2017 stopped them. Tory MP Hugo Swire effectively proposed closing Seaton’s hospital beds, to save those in Sidmouth which were in his constituency (the CCG followed his advice). Our community hospitals still do not have a secure future. Despite vague election promises from Tory candidates, no plan has been presented.
  2. The RD&E is chronically underfunded, short of staff and beds, and waiting times for operations are longer than ever. Spinal and orthopaedic patients are waiting over a year in many cases.
  3. Even cancer patients are being forced to wait longer than the safe recommended times for treatment in the RD&E. That’s a matter of life and death.
  4. Tory Brexit policies have worsened the RD&E staff shortages. Brexit has driven away European doctors and nurses, despite continuing freedom of movement. The so-called ‘Australian’ points system will only make this worse.
  5. The Tories’ handover of Colyton Health Centre to NHS Property Services threatened its closure through astronomical service charges. Only after I publicly protested have they backed down.
  6. Tory austerity policies have starved all East Devon’s schools of funds. Even after Johnson’s promised increases have been paid, they will still be significantly worse off than 5 years ago.
  7. Tory academisation policies threaten to force Colyton Primary School to be handed over to a multiacademy trust against parents’ wishes, because of a poor Ofsted report.
  8. Tory austerity policies have pushed the Fire Service to threaten closure of Colyton, Topsham and 7 other local fire stations. If they win the election, Tory councillors are expected to push them through on January 10th.
  9. Tory Brexit policies threaten the livelihoods of our farming and (yes) fishing communities, who will no longer be able to sell their products freely to the EU. (And fishing will be forced to accept the continuation of EU boats in UK waters, as part of any future trade deal.)
  10. People from other European countries who live in our communities have been forced to apply just to continue to stay here living with their partners and families in their own homes. Now they are told by Boris Johnson that they are ‘foreigners’ who are taking Britain for granted. This is a threat to our communities as well as a national shame.

I’m sorry I restricted myself to 10 points. Anyway, I’ll sneak in an extra one … local Tory candidates have lied, Neil Parish about Seaton Hospital and Simon Jupp about funding for Exmouth town centre and Sidmouth beach management … just like their leader.

Will ‘Hugh Grant voters’ deny Johnson a majority? I meet the actor supporting Claire Wright in Sidmouth today

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It’s been suggested that ‘Hugh Grant voters’ – who vote tactically – could deny Boris Johnson an overall majority, such has been the effect of Hugh’s heroic campaign to support the candidates best positioned to defeat the candidate of the new ultra-hard-right Tory party.

Over 200 supporters gathered at an hour’s notice in Sidmouth today, as Hugh came to urge opposition to the ‘most dangerous leader any of us have seen’ in British politics. (Anyone want to help leaflet for Claire in the next 2 days? Phone, text or email me.)0372F3A7-2914-40B5-A2B1-8EB4BE6D3D5A.jpeg

 

Yet again, Devon Conservative councillors block discussion of Colyton, Topsham and 7 other fire stations which are likely to be closed, once the Tories have got a majority

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At Devon County Council yesterday, Tory councillors voted as a block to prevent my motion critical of the fire station closures from being discussed at the meeting. They also voted not to allow the vote to be recorded, to protect themselves from criticism. (My picture shows them voting the first time they did this, in October. Yesterday’s webcast is not available to take a still from.) 

The meeting of the Fire Authority which will finalise the closures has been postponed until January 10th, and the proposals which will be put to the Authority will not be published until after the election.

My motion asked the Council to press the Fire Authority to allow county councillors to speak and represent their constituents, which the Authority’s standing orders would not normally allow us to do – the Tories would not even stand up for the right of councillors to represent their constituents.

Make no mistake – the closures will almost certainly go ahead unless voters throw a spanner in the works! 

 

Labour’s secretly pro-European candidate criticises me for not backing her tactically – she doesn’t mention Brexit in her election leaflet!

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The Labour candidate for Tiverton & Honiton, Liz Pole, has made an extraordinary attack on me on Facebook for not endorsing a Devon for Europe recommendation to vote tactically for her. D4EU has changed its advice that the situation in the constituency is ‘ambiguous’ to a Labour recommendation, but I pointed out:
Martin Shaw The YouGov MRP poll gives a central estimate for Labour 19% and LDs 16%, Tories 57%. There really isn’t a tactical vote in Tiv & Hon. I recommend voting for the opposition party which best represents your views.
Liz Pole replied:
Elizabeth Pole  Martin Shaw I note your attempt to undermine Devon for Europe’s hard work and and my campaign and your lack of understanding of the concept of teamwork. Please take your divisive partisan comment elsewhere. 
Then I looked at her election leaflet (above) – it doesn’t even mention Brexit, Europe or a second referendum, yet she wants us to vote tactically for her on these grounds!
I’ve now stated that I will publicly endorse (in Tiverton & Honiton) the first of Labour, Lib Dems or the Greens to put their money where their mouth is on tactical voting – by urging their supporters in the neighbouring East Devon constituency to vote tactically for Claire Wright against the parachuted Tory candidate. Until then I stick to my advice to vote according to your own views.
If these parties won’t urge their supporters to vote tactically in East Devon where there IS a genuine tactical option, why should I back them in Tiverton & Honiton where there ISN’T?

Has Boris Johnson promised Sidmouth £1.5m funding for its Beach Management Plan? Will Seaton get it too – or is just for constituencies where an Independent is threatening the Conservatives?

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The Conservative County Councillor for Sidmouth, Stuart Hughes, tweeted this morning that Boris Johnson was ‘making a pledge that a shortfall of funding of £1.5m to protect Sidmouth from Coastal Flooding would qualify from the £4bn Conservatives have pledged to help address affects of Climate Change‘. This raises several crucial questions:

  1. If Johnson was ‘making a pledge’ does that mean that all that EDDC, which is managing the Sidmouth Beach Management Plan, has to do is to apply for ‘climate change’ funding – and it will be granted? If this isn’t the meaning, then is this merely a bribe which isn’t really a bribe?
  2. Will Johnson make a similar pledge for Seaton, whose Beach Management Plan has a similar shortfall – or is this only available for Sidmouth because it’s in the marginal East Devon constituency which Claire Wright is poised to take from the Conservatives? Will Neil Parish press for a similar pledge for Seaton?
  3. Is this an appropriate use of Climate Change funding, which should surely be used to prevent the rise in carbon emissions, rather than deal with coastal erosion which has been going on in East Devon since time immemorial?

Projection for Tiverton & Honiton shows Neil Parish cruising to victory, Labour and LibDems battling for a poor second place

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Pollsters YouGov have just released their MRP polling estimates based on 100,000 interviews nationwide and extremely sophisticated application to individual constituencies. These confirm that the Tories are way ahead in Tiverton and Honiton (go HERE and search ‘Tiverton and Honiton’). In percentages it’s

  1. CONSERVATIVES range 50-65, central estimate 57
  2. Labour range 13-26, central estimate 19
  3. Lib Dem range 11-23, central estimate 16
  4. Green Party range 2-8, central estimate 5

LET’S CONFOUND THE POLLSTERS and KEEP PARISH’s VOTE UNDER 50 PER CENT!

Most authoritative polling projection yet shows @ClaireWrightInd narrowing the Tory lead to 47-41: Labour, Lib Dems and Greens are nowhere but their voters could deprive Claire of victory

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Pollsters YouGov have just released their MRP polling estimates based on 100,000 interviews nationwide and extremely sophisticated application to individual constituencies. These confirm an extremely tight race in East Devon (go HERE and search ‘East Devon’). In percentages it’s

  1. CONSERVATIVES range 37-57, central estimate 47
  2. CLAIRE WRIGHT range 31-51, central estimate 41
  3. Labour range 2-11, central estimate 6
  4. Lib Dem range 1-7, central estimate 4
  5. Green Party range 0-4, central estimate 2

So Claire could already be in the lead, but on the balance of probabilities the Tories are ahead by just 6 per cent, down from 12 per cent in 2017.

  • So we need a final big push to close the gap
  • Dan Wilson (Labour), Eleanor Rylance (LD) and Henry Gent (Green) have made their parties’ case but are going nowhere – who will be the first to salvage honour from what threatens to be a humiliating result, by recommending that their voters switch to Claire and put beating the Tories ahead of party?
  • Turnout, especially among young voters, will be crucial – if all Claire’s supporters come out to vote, she’ll win. Remember many older voters will already be voting by post for the Tory.