Paul Arnott only 1 per cent behind in new projection for Exmouth

Electoral Calculus now puts the Tories on 30.6 per cent, and Paul (for the Lib Dems) on 29.4 per cent, in the Exmouth & Exeter East constituency. Labour are trailing on 19.4 per cent – a small shift of Labour voters towards the Lib Dems would give the Exmouth area its first ever non-Tory MP. Paul is picture above with Claire Wright, who blazed the way for this result in previous general elections.
In our area (Honiton & Sidmouth), Electoral Calculus puts Richard Foord ahead by 46 per cent to 34 per cent, but they estimate that the Tories still have a 21 per cent chance of winning – none of these predictions are cast-iron!