Poll shows that @ClaireWrightInd could oust Tory @HugoSwire in a 2019 General Election

In a fantastic boost for the chances that East Devon will soon have an Independent MP, a YouGov poll which interviewed 40,000 people nationwide tips the East Devon constituency (including Exmouth, Sidmouth, Budleigh Salterton and Ottery St Mary) as the one seat in Devon that the Tories would lose if a General Election were held now. (Alas, Seaton and Colyton are not in this constituency.)
Claire, who is my Independent colleague on the County Council, increased her vote by 8,000 in 2017. She now needs a 6.7 per cent swing to win. The results last time show that Labour and the LibDems cannot win, and that Claire is the pro-NHS, pro-Europe candidate to support in East Devon.
2017 RESULT | EAST DEVON | VOTES | % | CHANGE +/- % |
---|---|---|---|---|
Conservative | Hugo Swire | 29,306 | 48.5 | +2.1 |
Independent | Claire Wright | 21,270 | 35.2 | +11.2 |
Labour | Jan Ross | 6,857 | 11.4 | +1.1 |
Liberal Democrat | Alison Eden | 1,468 | 2.4 | -4.4 |
UKIP | Brigitte Graham | 1,203 | 2.0 | -10.6 |
Independent | Peter Faithfull | 150 | 0.2 | +0.2 |
Independent | Michael Val Davies | 128 | 0.2 | +0.2 |